What are liquid staking providers?
Liquid staking providers (LSP) help to provide liquid staking infrastructure and services. Users would deposit a PoS asset and the LSP will deposit that to validators and mints a liquid-staked derivative (LSD) to users.
The value of the LSD is derived from the value of the underlying staked token, and depending on the LSP, it can either accrue in value overtime from auto-compounded staking rewards or be rebased (increase in quantity) over time.
On Ethereum, popular liquid staking providers include Lido, Rocket Pool, and Frax. In Cosmos, there are a few liquid staking providers (LSPs), from Stride Zone to StaFi, Quicksilver, Persistence, and others coming in 2023 with the launch of Interchain Security (ICS).
In this article, we will explore Stride as their assets are currently live on Demex and Nitron. If you are interested in a delta neutral strategy that can yield 20% APY and involving Demex perps and Stride's stAssets, click here.
What is Stride?
Stride is the first Cosmos-based liquid staking zone and went live with stATOM as their first product, and stOSMO, stSTARS and stJUNO soon after. The respective APYs are shown in the image below and there are some synergies between Demex and Stride that we will explore below.
They are likely going to launch other Cosmos L1 PoS tokens, including Carbon's $SWTH and many more.
Stride raised $6.7 million in a seed funding round and have an impressive team. Their Co-founder, Vishal Talasani, founded a hedge fund acquired by Dark Forest Technologies and was also a quant researcher at Bridgewater Associates, the largest hedge fund in the world. His co-founders are Edmunds, expert in machine learning and macroeconomics, and Salzmann, expert in product and engineering.
How does Stride Work?
Let’s understand liquid staking through the example of ATOM.
- User deposits their ATOM with Stride
- ATOM is staked by Stride and takes a percentage of the staking rewards as fee
- The user will then be issued with stATOM (staked ATOM)
- stATOM represents underlying staked ATOM and can be used to redeem ATOM at any time
- stATOM can be transferred across IBC chains and used in DeFi activities such as lending and borrowing money markets, or supplied as LP on Demex's stATOM/ATOM stableswap pools to earn more yields
- In the future, there is a possibility that users will be able to participate in on-chain governance with their staked tokens
Stride also auto-compounds staking rewards for higher returns and accrues it to the LSD, increasing the value of the LSD against the underlying asset overtime without the users needing to manually compound their staking rewards.
For example, if the reward APY for stATOM is 16.8%, after one year, assuming a constant rate, one stATOM would be worth 1.168 ATOM, and can be redeemed for that amount as well, or swapped into ATOM at the stATOM/ATOM market rate.
Stride takes a 10% fee of the staking rewards from the staked assets. The amount of fee taken by Stride is adjustable by Stride's on-chain governance, using the native STRD token.
Stride has also done an airdrop of the Stride token, and was claimable on 22nd November 2022.
Airdrop link: https://app.stride.zone/airdrop
More details can be found here: https://stride.zone/blog/stride-airdrop-details
How well is Stride doing?
Let's explore a few variables from active users to liquidity.
Community and Social Media
Here's an image taken from Map Of Zones. Looking at the IBC volume, there is an IBC volume of around $31 million, indicating about $1 million volume a day which is pretty decent, and monthly active users (MAU) of about 16,000, which is about 11% of Osmosis's MAU of 140,000 users.
Their social media growth has been strong and steady as well, surpassing over 20k followers in just a few months.
One of the most important factor in determining the success of an LSD it the liquidity and two of the most popular LSDs from Stride are stATOM and stOSMO, both appearing in the top 10 pools on Osmosis with a combined liquidity of about $10 million, with half of it being stASSETs.
Looking at the amount of TVL under Stride, we see a steady increase in the amount of tokens being deposited although the total USD value of the tokens locked has been on a decline (likely due to asset prices dropping), with most of their TVL coming from ATOM.
Token Price & Valuation Analysis
Looking at the price performance of STRD, it hasn't been performing too well. This could be due to the incentive programs they have at the moment, causing selling pressure. However, it also presents an investment possibility as their MCAP of $1.7 million is quite low (albeit the FDV is at $18.5 million).
We can perform some quick valuation calculations.
Let's take a look at Stride Zone's ATOM staking account which can be found here . We see a total of 529,328 ATOM being staked, and with a market price of $10 per ATOM, gives us a value of $5,293,280 or about $5.3 million.
Let's also take a look at Stride Zone's OSMO staking account which can be found here. We see a total of 1,850,727 OSMO being staked, and with a market price of about $0.70 per OSMO, it gives us a value of about $1.3 million.
Taking an average ATOM staking rewards of 19% and a performance fee of 10% gives us: Stride's current ATOM staking annualized revenue: $5,293,280 * 19% * 10% = $100,572.
Taking an average OSMO staking rewards of 22% and a performance fee of 10% gives us: Stride's current OSMO staking annualized revenue: $1,300,000 * 22% * 10% = $28,600.
The total revenue earned from just ATOM and OSMO staking rewards are $129,172 or about $0.13 million.
Calculating their P/S ratio, it would be $1.7m/$0.13m = 13.07.
Generally, this is a healthy ratio for a fast growing startup. However, if we use their FDV of $18.5 million, it would be 142, which is high, but in my opinion it would not be fair to use FDV as Stride is still a young and fast growing protocol.
But we're not stopping here, a valuation has to factor in growth potential as well.
Currently Stride only has 0.53 million ATOM staked with them compared to the 202 million ATOM staked, which represents about a 0.25% market share which still has tremendous room to grow.
If Stride can capture just 10% of all ATOM bonded, their revenue would jump by about 40x, but is 10% market capture realistic?
Let's take a look at the biggest LSP, Lido, and draw some comparisons.
Lido's has a staking APR of about 4.29% and they also charge a 10% fee. The total estimated annualized revenue earned from just ETH staking rewards can be calculated as 4,619,114 (ETH staked) * $1270 (ETH's price) * 4.29% = $251,663,188 or about $251 million. With an MCAP and FDV of about $1.6 billion and $1.95 billion respectively, their MCAP/Sales and FDV/Sales is 6.37 and 7.76 respectively, which are pretty healthy figures for a more mature protocol.
Looking at Lido, there is a circulating supply of 120.5 million ETH, and they captured about 4.6 million ETH, which is about 3.8% and they are already the most popular liquid staking provider in DeFi.
Hence a more realistic assumption would be for Stride to follow a similar market capture ratio of about 3.8%, which will still grow their revenue by over 10x, and make for a much healthier PS ratio.
If Stride continues to grow and eventually capture 3% of all ATOM staked or more, they are possibly undervalued.
Another metric we can look at is the ratio of FDV to Value of Assets Staked (FDV/FAS). This is similar to an FDV/TVL metric which is somewhat a vanity metric but it gives us an idea of how much people trust the protocol but also how potentially under or overvalued the protocol is. Lower numbers are better.
Stride's FDV of $18.5 million divided by their value of assets staked of about $6.6 million, thus Stride's FDV/VAS = 2.8.
Looking at Lido's FDV of about $1.5 billion and just taking the the value of the ETH staked which is about $5.9 billion, Lido's FDV/VAS = 0.25.
Thus based on FDV/VAS metric, Stride is potentially more overvalued compared to Lido, but this metric only takes a snapshot in time, and does not account for the growth rate of either protocols.
Lastly, it is important to note that not all revenue goes to Stride stakers, they would need to decide to use the revenue to buy back and burn ST tokens in order to receive the value of the revenue generated.
Stride x Demex Strategy
Interested in a delta neutral strategy that can yield 20% APY involving Demex perps and Stride's stAssets?
The essence is to obtain stOSMO so you earn 20% APY, and then short OSMO to hedge OSMO's price exposure, making it a pseudo delta neutral strategy.
Read our step by step and detailed article here.
How safe is Stride?
As we know, nothing in DeFi is 100% safe due to smart contract risks. One of the main ways to increase safety is to reduce complexity. This is why Stride focused on keeping its platform minimalistic to reduce attack vectors and does not even allow contracts to be deployed onto the chain or have other dApps on it.
Stride also has an auto rate-limiting feature that halts activity in the event of suspicious activities, such as stASSETs going too far from its redemption price. For example, if there was a way to do an infinitely mint stATOM and sell it on the open market affecting the price, all activity will halt first while investigations take place.
To prevent the risk of centralization, having a robust validator framework is important to ensure sufficient decentralization and Nakamoto Coefficient.
Currently, Stride is taking a weighted delegation of the top 30 validators (excluding exchange validators or those with commissions higher than 15%).
This was meant to keep things simple during the initial stages of being a liquid staking zone, but this validator set will change over time and be determined by key community members.
For more information, you can view this page.
What is the $STRD governance token?
The Stride governance token $STRD governs the Stride Zone protocol, from their validator framework, to the fees that Stride charges for liquid staking.
The $STRD token has two main sources of value accrual:
- Governance voting power to vote on fees, validator framework, etc
- Fees collected by Stride for providing liquid staking services
The terminal tokenomics is as follows. Taking the more public elements which include community airdrop, staking rewards, community growth, community incentives, and community reserve makes up 48% of the token supply.
The tokenomics was designed with three complementary outcomes in mind:
- Quickly and effectively distribute Stride governance power across the communities Stride serves
- Facilitate social coordination to promote Stride liquid staking
- Build and maintain value for the ST token
Stride Zone Conclusion
LSDs are important for the growth of DeFi in Cosmos and Stride Zone was the first native LSP in Cosmos which has given them a head start advantage in liquidity and adoption. Their focus on simplicity and security also allows more users to feel at ease to trust to use their stTokens in DeFi activities.
Stride has partnered and integrated with Carbon network to support stATOM, stOSMO and others on Demex, allowing users to not only trade but also borrow other assets and mint Carbon's stablecoin USC against LSDs which slowly grows in value overtime.
The only drawback is the performance fee of 10% which is not the most competitive in Cosmos. Stride's current valuation also seems relatively high when compared to Lido, but with no other competitor on Osmosis, it is hard to establish a real competitor valuation against other Cosmos LSPs.
Stride is currently leading the LSD movement in terms of TVL on Osmosis, and with a clear product market fit that is well-desired by the market, it is likely that STRD has room to grow and will continue to serve the greater Cosmos DeFi community.
There are no clear winners yet as the LSD space in Cosmos is still nascent with more competitors appearing soon, but this also presents an opportunity in investing in the early stages of this LSD race.
We hope you enjoyed this reading and stay tuned while we explore other LSPs and their unique selling points.
Not financial advice
The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice or any other advice or recommendation of any sort offered or endorsed by Switcheo. Switcheo does not take into account your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. Switcheo also does not warrant that such information and publications are accurate, up to date or applicable to the circumstances of any particular case.
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